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A Very Risky Post

December 14, 2011

This is a very risky post.   Sometimes it’s just wiser to stay out of heated debates and avoid the risk of others disparaging your character or intelligence.  Especially when all I’m talking about is football.

Right now the Indianapolis Colts are in the throws of their worst season of the teams almost 60 year existence.  That’s somewhat hard to believe considering all those years through the 80s and 90s when the team could essentially be excluded from playoff consideration after the second preseason game.  Those were the years that the Colts did an excellent job of devising a plan on how to be an abysmal failure by racking up gads of high first round picks who would be busts within two years.  The Detroit Lions worked the Colts plan to perfection thoughout the first decade of this millennium

Then the Colts had to go and mess up their string of futility by drafting Peyton Manning.  Of course Manning’s first year with the Colts was not much different than most of the preceding years, but gradually the team got better.  Many fans gave credit to the owner, Jim Irsay (probably deserved).  Others touted the genius of Bill Polian (maybe true).  Certainly, most fans sang the praises of the developing future Hall of Famer, Manning.  I’m not even factoring in the three head coaches during Manning’s tenure.  The truth is that through the efforts of all three men, the Colts became a powerhouse in the NFL for over a decade.  A very good run.

However, with the latest events (I’m referring to Mannings’ neck), it has become clear that one of the three men was more important than the other two.  Owners have a lot to do with creating a successful team, but I believe they have more to do with making a team an utter disaster.  We can think of several owners who just can’t seem to get out of their own way.  General managers obviously have a direct affect on the specific personnel taking the field, but once in a lifetime quarterbacks make all the difference in the NFL.  And while other players may be irreplaceable, superstar quarterbacks are 100% irreplaceable.

While I’m a big fan of Irsay and think Polian is a pretty good GM, the real reason the Colts have been a success is because of Manning.  No, duh, Einstein.  But the real debate, when it became evident that this season was lost (game 1 or game 2), was whether the Colts should  start planning for the future by drafting Andrew Luck (the sure thing, ready for the NFL quarterback) and move on from Manning or keep Manning and trade Luck for picks and players.  The other argument had the team keeping both quarterbacks but seems far less sensible to me.

Here’s what I think:

If (and it’s a big “if”) Manning is healthy, the Colts have to keep him and trade the Luck pick for more top draft picks and starters.  If Luck is as qualified and desirable quarterback as all the experts are saying (I wouldn’t know, I’ve never seen him play and don’t possess the expertise even if I had seen him play), then his value as a trade is sky high.  Maybe I’m delusional, but I believe many of the younger players on this year’s team are gaining valuable experience that will make them better next year.  Add that to the new and some top tier, experienced talent for the next season or two… and Manning, and the Colts have a chance to make a couple more runs at the Superbowl.

If the Colts were to ditch Manning (who has brought untold fame and cash to Indianapolis), the team would definitely be in rebuilding mode for the next several years.  The Colts know what they get with Manning.  He’s a smart, hard working, talented, elite quarterback.  With Luck the team gets a ton of potential.  Fans quickly get bored with, and GMs and coaches get fired because of potential.  This is a now society, and I believe the Colts have a better immediate future with Manning.

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2 Responses to A Very Risky Post

  1. Jerry on December 14, 2011 at 10:02 pm

    Risky either way I say

  2. Jackodile on December 14, 2011 at 10:11 pm

    Considering that a player could get injured at any moment, the risk is very high. Of course as soon as I published this post I contemplated changing my opinion. In some ways, either choice is win-win and lose-lose. Both are high risk, high reward.

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